Right here’s the place the losers of the Juan Soto sweepstakes stand now

Juan Soto

Juan Soto
Picture: AP

Mild up a cigar, kick your ft up, and take an enormous breath. The Juan Soto saga is over. I doubted it might occur in any respect, however ultimately, the San Diego Padres wound up getting each Soto and veteran teammate Josh Bell for comparatively little or no. Congrats to the Padres! The deal was superb! Additionally they landed Josh Hader and now boast one of the all-around full rosters in MLB, on paper.

That distinction remains to be reliant on well being and a return to kind from guys like Wil Myers — although he was being shopped simply earlier than the deadline — Trent Grisham, and Austin Nola. I do know that’s asking quite a bit, however theoretically, they acquired some dawgs down at Petco. Up till the second that Soto to the Padres was introduced although, there have been a number of groups within the operating. The Los Angeles Dodgers and St. Louis Cardinals have been the 2 groups mostly introduced up in Soto negotiations, however the Giants additionally made a small splash within the Soto tsunami. So, the place do every of those groups stand after the Padres’ sealed the deal?

Los Angeles Dodgers

Except for the Nationals, who gave away a Rolls Royce and Kia Sorrento for a few Honda Civics and no matter is behind one of many thriller doorways on”’Let’s Make a Deal,” the Dodgers are the most important losers on this commerce. Whereas they might have been leaping for pleasure presently final 12 months once they snatched Max Scherzer and Trea Turner from the Padres’ fingers on the final second, they’re now quaking of their boots on the prospect of getting Soto of their division for at the very least the following two and a half seasons — most likely extra.

Not solely is having to face Soto 12 occasions within the the rest of the season, and presumably the postseason, an enormous downside for the Dodgers, however LA was in determined want of an outfield bat. Chris Taylor is damage, Trayce Thompson is doing properly however he shouldn’t be counted on in key moments, James Outman is unproven, and Cody Bellinger nonetheless sucks. They wanted a strong player to stay within the 7 or 9 slot, and in addition not be a gap of their lineup. Soto was that man, and given the Dodgers’ plethora of prospects, I’m surprised they didn’t get a deal completed.

The Dodgers have been so determined for assist in the outfield that they traded for Joey Gallo…JOEY GALLO! The ability menace who couldn’t reach Yankee Stadium! That’s a sentence that ought to give each baseball fan an upset abdomen after studying it.

Gallo stated earlier today that Yankees fans made him “really feel like shit,” so he’ll be completely satisfied to have a recent begin in Chavez Ravine the place his expectations shall be decrease than a limbo contest in hell. That stated, if Gallo is the comfort prize within the Soto sweepstakes, then Dodgers followers must be drowning themselves in alcohol to assist cope.

When it comes to what Soto would’ve delivered to the desk, the Dodgers have been one of many groups that may’ve benefited least although. The Dodgers have been already close to the highest of the league when it comes to outfielder on-base proportion, slugging, OPS, strikeout price, and stroll price. Soto would clearly be an enormous improve for the Dodgers, however of every of the groups that have been within the operating for Soto, the Dodgers doubtless would have benefited the least in the long term.

St. Louis Cardinals

With Tyler O’Neill’s struggles, Harrison Bader’s accidents, and Albert Pujols’…all the things, Soto would’ve been an enormous get for the Birds. That stated, the Cardinals can stroll away from this Soto state of affairs with their heads held excessive realizing they didn’t have to surrender their future, didn’t land an enormous identify, and nonetheless improved greater than their biggest divisional adversary, the Milwaukee Brewers.

The Cardinals wanted outfield assist and beginning pitching depth greater than something. Whereas buying somebody like Carlos Rodón (nonetheless potential, however unlikely) would’ve been most popular, the addition of José Quintana supplies stability to a beginning rotation that’s solely had three folks begin greater than ten games all season. Frankly, the Cardinals simply wanted somebody who may eat innings and carry them over into the postseason. Seeing as how Quintana has pitched at the very least 150 innings in each full season since 2013 (besides 2021), Quintana must be much-appreciated in St. Louis.

That’s inappropriate although. The Cardinals have been in the course of MLB amongst outfielder on-base proportion, stroll price, slugging, and weighted runs created-plus. Nevertheless, for the reason that begin of June, Cardinals’ outfielders have ranked top-10 in practically each class beneath the solar. That’s with O’Neill struggling in addition to Bader and Yepez spending time on the IL.

The Cardinals’ lineup may be very top-heavy. The one nice hitters of their lineup this 12 months have been Paul Goldschmidt, Nolan Arenado, and Brendan Donovan. As nuts as it’s to say, Albert Pujols is one among solely seven Cardinals with at the very least 50 games performed and an OPS-plus of 100 or higher. So, whereas the prospect of placing Soto at DH and letting O’Neill climb himself out of this rut he’s in might have been engaging, the Cardinals would’ve basically been limiting one among their higher bats this season to a platoon function. On the similar time, placing Soto within the outfield could be a drastic downgrade defensively for a bunch that ranks third in Defensive WAR this season.

The Cardinals must be completely satisfied realizing they now have the clear-cut finest bullpen within the NL Central. They’ve been on a tear and that added depth at starter and robust bullpen goes to repay large down the stretch. Dropping out on Soto doesn’t change that.

San Francisco Giants

Thank Christ the Giants didn’t make this commerce. Have you learnt how braindead you’d must be to make a commerce for Soto when the core of your crew is all previous their prime, your farm system is fairly mild, and your offense is weaker than an amputee sloth? Opposite to what a number of Giants followers would possibly let you know, the crew’s 107-win 2021 season is a distant reminiscence at this level and it doesn’t appear to be it’s coming again any time quickly. The Giants are greater than a powerful bat and a bullpen arm away from contending once more.

Fortunately, the Giants realized that they wanted to be sellers after shedding out on Soto. Already, the Giants have introduced that All-Star Carlos Rodón is on the desk to be traded.

Additionally they traded away underrated slugger Darin Ruf for J.D. Davis and some prospects. That’s an excellent get.

Plus, Trevor Rosenthal acquired traded. I’ll be sincere, I didn’t know he had any worth in any respect at this level in his profession. So, if the Giants acquired something for him…something in any respect, good on their entrance workplace.

The Giants benefitted essentially the most from shedding out on Soto, as a result of it confirmed the Giants’ entrance workplace that they’ll’t afford to maintain pushing for a World Collection with their growing old core. They took a step again, seemed within the mirror, and stated “What are we even doing?” and, as a Giants fan myself, I’m ever so grateful for that realization.

San Francisco is linked closely to Aaron Decide in free company this offseason and whereas Decide is older, dearer, and extra vulnerable to strikeouts, he wouldn’t value the Giants any of their prime prospects, which may’t be overstated for a crew that has failed to succeed in expectations as a result of they couldn’t get one other 24 dwelling runs and 90 RBIs from their 35-year-old shortstop. They’re at present beneath .500 and have been falling additional and farther from the playoff bubble each day for the reason that begin of June. This wanted to occur.

Conclusion

In keeping with OddsChecker US, the one crew among the many groups I simply listed to have their World Collection odds severely affected by the commerce was the St. Louis Cardinals, who fell from +3000 odds to +4000. The Giants have been already lengthy photographs and stayed just about the identical, and the Dodgers’ odds didn’t change in any respect, staying put at +380. Humorous sufficient although, after the Dodgers acquired Gallo, their odds improved to +360. I’m positive that’ll make each Yankees fan scoff.

Whereas the Padres’ odds have jumped from +2000 to +800 with the commerce, bettors don’t appear inclined to place cash on the Friars. Because the commerce was introduced, solely 6.1 % of World Collection bets have been positioned on San Diego. That ranks fifth in MLB, and fourth within the Nationwide League, behind the likes of the Dodgers, Mets, and sure…the Cardinals. Maybe the troubles surrounding their rotational depth are pushing bettors away, however let it’s identified, essentially the most improved crew from this entire ordeal is undoubtedly the Padres. Don’t get it twisted.



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