LSU or St. Bonaventure? Choosing Michigan’s doubtless Spherical 2 opponent in 2021 March Insanity bracket

We all know, we all know. You are the 2021 NCAA Match discipline and also you’re questioning, what the heck am I going to do with these 9-8 matchups? Yearly, these coin-flip games give individuals plenty of bother once they’re filling out their bracket and getting into March Insanity competitions and workplace swimming pools.

This 12 months, the 9-8 games are not any exception, and one of many harder ones to choose is the St. Bonaventure vs. LSU game. The 2 groups are polar opposites of their enjoying model, so whichever staff is ready to execute its game plan the perfect will doubtless emerge with the win. However how are you aware which one which can be?

St. Bonaventure (16-4, 11-4 A-10) is coming off a terrific season that noticed them play very properly towards Atlantic 10 competitors. Nevertheless, are the LSU Tigers (18-9, 11-6 SEC) peaking on the proper time? And is the No. 8 seed too low for them? It is definitely doable, and their offense can definitely preserve tempo with anybody within the discipline.

With that, here is every thing you should know in regards to the matchup between St. Bonaventure and LSU, together with rankings, key gamers, season breakdowns and extra:

DeCourcy (Gonzaga) | Bender (Illinois) | Fagan (Gonzaga) | Lutovsky (Baylor)

LSU vs. St. Bonaventure odds

St. Bonaventure vs. LSU would be the twentieth general game of the 2021 NCAA Match and can happen on Saturday afternoon as one of many first games of the day. In line with FanDuel Sportsbook, LSU is the slight favourite within the contest. Under are the main points of their game, together with the betting odds, time, TV and venue.

  • Odds: LSU (-1.5)
  • Date: Saturday, March 20
  • Time: 1:45 p.m. ET
  • TV: TNT
  • Area: Simon Skjodt Meeting Corridor

St. Bonaventure (16-4, 11-4 Atlantic 10)

Over the past decade, St. Bonaventure has steadily develop into one of the crucial constant groups within the Atlantic 10. They’ve made the NCAA Match 3 times since 2012 and noticed probably the greatest gamers in staff historical past, Andrew Nicholson, develop into a first-round draft choose of the Orlando Magic in 2012.

Throughout the 2020-21 season, St. Bonaventure was probably the greatest groups within the Atlantic 10 convention. They cruised to a 16-4 file on the 12 months and the No. 1 seed within the Atlantic 10 Match. They gained every of their three games in that match by no less than 9 factors and capped off a 6-1 file of their closing seven games. Their solely loss was by three factors to Dayton.

The Bonnies posted a 2-0 file towards VCU, the one different A-10 staff to make the match, and had been 1-1 towards St. Louis, one of many first 4 groups out of the match discipline this 12 months. Thus, whereas they have no marquee wins, per se, they carried out properly towards the very best degree of competitors that they confronted. That is a part of why each the NET rating and KenPom rating look like bullish on the balanced Bonnies.

  • NET rating: 23
  • KenPom rating: 25
  • Quad 1 file: 4-2
  • Quad 2 file: 3-1
  • Quad 3 file: 5-1
  • Quad 4 file: 4-0
  • Offensive effectivity rating: thirty eighth
  • Defensive effectivity: seventeenth

Key gamers

Kyle Lofton (6-3, 195-pound junior guard)
14.6 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 5.5 apg

Jaren Holmes (6-4, 215-pound junior guard)
13.6 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 2.0 apg

Jalen Adaway (6-5, 210-pound redshirt junior guard)
12.3 ppg, 6.1 rpg, 1.5 apg

Dominick Welch (6-5, 200-pound junior guard)
11.7 ppg, 6.1 rpg, 2.2 apg

Osun Osunniyi (6-10, 220-pound junior ahead)
10.5 ppg, 9.5 rpg, 2.4 apg


LSU (18-9, 11-6 SEC)

LSU almost was capable of win the SEC Match, however Alabama pulled away from them to squeak out a one-point win. Throughout their match run, they beat the No. 8-ranked Arkansas, a 3-seed in March Insanity, and Sporting Information’ Invoice Bender projected LSU to be a No. 5 seed within the match. So, for sure, they’re underseeded.

LSU had wins over Sixteenth-ranked Tennessee and the aforementioned Arkansas Razorbacks, however losses to 9-16 Kentucky and Saint Louis should’ve dropped them within the eyes of the committee. That and a slightly unimpressive non-conference schedule. LSU does have a dynamic offense although, as they rank fifth in offensive effectivity, and they’re going to look to blow by the skilled Bonnies and their stable protection. 

  • NET rating: 28
  • KenPom rating: 29
  • Quad 1 file: 5-8
  • Quad 2 file: 3-1
  • Quad 3 file: 6-0
  • Quad 4 file: 4-0
  • Offensive effectivity rating: fifth
  • Defensive effectivity: one hundred and twenty fifth

Key gamers

Cameron Thomas (6-4, 210-pound freshman guard)
22.6 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 1.4 apg

Trendon Watford (6-9, 240-pound sophomore ahead)
16.7 ppg, 7.4 rpg, 3.0 apg

Ja’Vonte Sensible (6-4, 205-pound junior guard)
15.9 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 4.0 apg

Darius Days (6-7, 245-pound junior ahead)
11.7 ppg, 7.9 rpg, 0.7 apg

Aundre Hyatt (6-6, 225-pound sophomore guard)
3.9 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 0.3 apg

BRACKET TIPS: KenPom | Play the percentages | Fool’s information

LSU vs. St. Bonaventure prediction

This matchup goes to be a conflict of various kinds. LSU is a fast-moving, high-octane offense that likes to shoot shortly and run up the rating. They don’t seem to be nice on protection and rank forty ninth in tempo, demonstrating how fast they’re to search out choices on offense.

In the meantime, the Bonnies function at a considerably slower tempo. St. Bonaventure ranks 329th in tempo this season out of 347 groups. They maintain onto the ball and search for the proper shot. The veteran-laden squad that primarily performs juniors is well-balanced and their protection is robust thanks largely to Osun Osunniyi, a shot-blocking machine who averaged 2.9 denials per game final season, tied for the eighth-most within the NCAA.

Due to the clashing kinds, this game can be all about who can management the tempo. If the Bonnies can decelerate the Tigers offense and make them function out of rhythm, they’re going to have an opportunity to win this one. Conversely, if LSU is ready to run their fast-paced offense, they may construct up a lead that will show insurmountable for a St. Bonaventure staff that averages simply 66.8 possessions per game.

It is also price noting that neither of those groups is especially deep. St. Bonaventure tends to stay to a seven-man rotation whereas LSU depends on 4 gamers to do a majority of their scoring. That would create some severe volatility on this game, as if both staff has one player out of rhythm, it might considerably hamper their scoring potential.

Historical past of 8 vs. 9 matchups in NCAA Match

In fact, all through the historical past of the NCAA Match, the 9 and eight seed matchup has been comparatively even. It is the largest coin-flip on any bracket, and it is the one one of many typical first-round matchups the place the underdog has a bonus over the higher-seeded staff. The No. 9 seeds maintain a slight fringe of 72-68.

In the event you’re latest historical past, the No. 8 seed has held a slight fringe of late. They’ve posted a 24-20 file during the last 11 NCAA Tournaments, however it’s price noting that No. 9 seeds gained all of the 9-8 matchups final 12 months.

For this game, LSU ought to be most likely be favored. They had been underseeded and their latest efficiency signifies that their offense is firing on all cylinders. St. Bonaventure could not be capable to preserve tempo with LSU if their offense comes out scorching — and even heat.

Under is a breakdown of the wins 9 seeds have loved over 8 seeds the final 10 tournaments:

Yr End result
2019 UCF 73, VCU 58
  Baylor 78, Syracuse 69
  Oklahoma 95, Ole Miss 72
  Washington 78, Utah State 61
2018 Alabama 86, Virginia Tech 83
  Kansas State 69, Creighton 59
  Florida State 67, Missouri 54
2017 Michigan State 78, Miami 58
2016 Butler 71, Texas Tech 61
  Windfall 70, USC 69
  Uconn 74, Colorado 67
2014 Pittsburgh 77, Colorado 48
2013 Temple 76, NC State 72
  Wichita State 73, Pittsburgh 55
2012 St. Louis 61, Memphis 54
2011 Illinois 73, UNLV 62
2010 Wake Forest 81, Texas 80
  Northern Iowa 69, UNLV 66
2009 Siena 74, Ohio State 72
  Texas A&M 79, BYU 66

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